We use commodities every single day. If you look down at your outfit, there is a good possibility that you are wearing multiple items that use one or more of these commodities as a raw material: rubber, plastics, clothes, grain, precious metals and fuel (for transportation and the production of electricity). Due to the daily use or necessity of these commodities, they are greatly affected by supply and demand. Beyond these basic factors, commodities’ prices can also be affected by geopolitical and adverse weather events – because many commodities are produced in specific geographic locations. For example, it’s common knowledge that a disruption of crude production in the Middle East can cause an increase in the commodity’s price due to a drop in supply; even though Saudi Arabia is only the third largest producer of oil. Another example of this effect is when Hurricane Harvey caused refineries along the Gulf Coast in the United States to cease the production of Gasoline in the Summer of 2017. In this case, the closing of refineries caused a temporary drop in the demand for crude, pushing prices down but at the same time causing gasoline prices to increase due to the instant drop in supply. We saw coffee prices increase in 2017 when Brazil, the world’s third-biggest producer, experienced an extended drought that caused a drop in supply, thus an increase in the commodity’s price. More recently demand for oil has plummeted due to the COVID-19 pandemic causing oil prices to turn negative at its darkest days of trading. Unlike other financial products, commodities can be affected by a wide range of factors including but not restricted to diplomatic or political events and change in governments’ policies. It’s therefore vital to consider risk management before beginning your trading journey – which although explicit in its name – may be overlooked by many traders. Risk management begins with knowing what is going on in the world politically, economically, and even physically, which can help you achieve your investment goals. It can be detrimental to be unaware of an event that could affect the markets you trade on.
This refers to items that are grown as opposed to mined. For example, agricultural products such as sugar, corn, wheat, coffee and more. Produced by farmers, these instruments are highly sensitive to climate and weather changes and have cyclical price patterns dictated by seasons.
This refers to items that are mined such as gold, other precious metals, diamonds, oil, and along with other energy products.
If supply and demand balance out, prices should stay the same. However, anytime the market thinks the supply will be lower due to weather or production cuts, prices tend to go higher and vice versa. Higher supplies tend to lead to lower prices.
Production of these commodity prices can be affected by the following: weather, crop diseases, production issues with staff, political and economic environments which form additional charges such as taxes, trade laws, subsidies from governments etc.
Connections between some of the worlds most traded commodities and Forex pairs are common. For example, the Canadian dollar (CAD) is connected to oil trading prices since Canada is a large exporter of oil. If you are aware of these common connections, then monitoring them and trading at the right time is important to making the right decisions in successful trading. It should be noted that most commodities are priced in US dollars, and thus it would be wise to monitor the dollar index in order to better forecast the price dynamics. Our advisors are able to keep you up to date and use these correlations to your advantage.
When there is inflation, the price of a commodity usually changes accordingly.
Although they are grouped together, commodities are a diverse group of products. This includes agricultural wheat, soybeans, sugar, coffee, cocoa, corn, cotton, industrial products such as oil, natural gas, heating oil, and crude. Different factors affect them but their price is largely based on supply and demand.
Please feel free to contact us. We will get back to you with 1-2 business days. Or just call us now